Showing posts with label China. Show all posts
Showing posts with label China. Show all posts

Tuesday, 4 December 2012

Top Ten Myths About China in 2012

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For China, 2012 was a humbling year. When the history of China’s reform era is written, this moment may prove to be a pivot point, a time when the myths that China and the world had adopted about the politics and economics of the People’s Republic began to wash away, leaving blunt facts about what China’s idiosyncratic national system has and has not achieved. Here are some of the myths that collapsed this year:

External Shocks and China’s Monetary Policy

By zheng Liu and Mark M. Spiegel


China prohibits its private sector from freely trading foreign assets and tightly manages currency exchange rates. In the wake of the recent global financial crisis, interest rates on China’s foreign assets fell sharply, while yields on Chinese domestic assets remained relatively high, posing a challenge for China’s monetary policy. Opening the capital account would improve China’s capacity to weather external shocks, such as sudden declines in foreign interest rates. However, allowing the exchange rate to float without removing capital controls is less effective.

Tuesday, 27 November 2012

Xi feels threat of a China Spring

By Brendan O'Reilly
Recent statements from China's new leadership suggest a growing awareness of serious economic and political problems. The era of relative political stability garnered through rapid economic growth may be coming to an end. A rising tide lifts all boats, but structural problems in the world's second largest economy have the potential to dam the flow of increasing prosperity. Concrete reforms must accompany the promising slogans if the Communist Party is to maintain its monopoly on political power.

China’s Leadership Change Puts Pair Ahead of Their Peers for 2017

So in June, the United States ambassador, Gary F. Locke, traveled to Inner Mongolia, the coal-rich region of grasslands and boom cities, where Mr. Hu is party chief. At a banquet in Hohhot, the regional capital, Mr. Hu proudly opened a bottle of local liquor, and Mr. Locke joined in a toast.

Sun Zhengcai, A Rising Star


Last week Sun Zhengcai, 49, was named as the secretary general of Chongiqong Province, the same position that Bo Xilai held before being purged from the CCP.
Sun is part of a small group of young rising stars in the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) that many believe are being prepared as China's 6th generation leaders who are expected to take power from Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang in 2022. Sun became one of the fifteen new Politburo members at the 18th Party Congress.
Sun obtained a doctorate in agriculture from Beijing Agriculture University in 1987 and spent a year in the British countryside as a visiting fellow at Britain’s Rothamsted Experimental Station.

Monday, 26 November 2012

Is China Up to the Challenge?

Long menu of problems: New Party Secretary General Xi Jinping (top); angry protesters demand cancellation of polluting petrochemical plant in Zhejiang

WASHINGTON: China has ended the suspense by announcing the new leadership headed by Xi Jinping to the nation and the world. While the Communist Party and Central Military Commission elites are now identified, we must wait until March for a clearer idea of the policy orientations of China’s new elite, when the National People’s Congress will appoint ministers of State Council and other government officials. But it is not premature to identify their main challenges and speculate about how the leaders  may respond.
There exists a surprisingly strong consensus inside and outside of China on the principal problems and what reforms are needed. They essentially constitute significantly relaxing state and party control and allowing private sector and civil society greater leeway, while redirecting resources to spurring innovation and reducing social inequities. Specifically, urgent tasks include: 
 – reorienting the economic growth model away from investments into physical infrastructure and subsidized exports to one driven by domestic consumption and innovation, emphasizing the knowledge economy and service industries;

China's princelings come of age in new leadership

BEIJING | Sun Nov 25, 2012 4:19pm EST
Xi's ascension, along with the other members of the red aristocracy, came at an awkward moment for the princelings.


In this photo released by China's Xinhua news agency, China's new leaders, from left, Communist Party General Secretary Xi Jinping, Li Keqiang, Zhang Dejiang, Yu Zhengsheng, Liu Yunshan, Wang Qishan, and Zhang Gaoli, arrive for a press conference after being elected members of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the 18th Central Committee of China's Communist Party at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Nov. 15. (AP Photo/Xinhua)

(Reuters) - In China they are known as "princelings" — the privileged children of the revolutionary founders of the People's Republic of China. And in the generational leadership change that just took place in Beijing, it could not have been clearer that having the right family bloodlines is among the most important attributes an ambitious cadre could possess.

Foreign Policy Under Xi Jinping


Following the conclusion of the 18th Party Congress, a new Politburo Standing Committee, the top leadership body of the Chinese Communist Party, has been named.  Much of the recent commentary has revolved around whether or how China’s new leaders will pursue much-needed economic and political reforms.  An equally important question concerns the future direction of Chinese foreign policy under Xi Jinping.

Sunday, 25 November 2012

Analysis: "Caveat emptor" as foreigners rush to ride China rebound

HONG KONG | Sun Nov 25, 2012 8:33pm EST


Investors look at computer screens showing stock information at a brokerage house in Shanghai in this June 8, 2012 file photo. Foreign investors have started rebuilding their China equity portfolios, tempted by low valuations after two years of market underperformance and signs economic growth may be stabilizing. They have pumped nearly $4 billion (2 billion pounds) into Chinese equity funds in the past two months alone, trying to get in early on what they hope will be a sustained rally. Picture taken June 8, 2012. 

(Reuters) - Foreign investors have started rebuilding their China equity portfolios, tempted by low valuations after two years of market underperformance and signs economic growth may be stabilizing.
They have pumped nearly $4 billion into Chinese equity funds in the past two months alone, trying to get in early on what they hope will be a sustained rally.

China's role in Southeast Asia questioned

FILE - In this Nov. 20, 2012 file photo, China's Premier Wen Jiabao, right, chats with U.S. President Barack Obama, left, as Cambodia's Prime Minister Hun Sen stands between them during a family photo at the 7th East Asia Summit Plenary Session in Phnom Penh, Cambodia. China's finding the once friendly ground of Southeast Asia bumpy going, with anger against Chinese claims to disputed islands, once reliable ally Myanmar flirting with democracy and renewed American attention to the region. (AP Photo/Vincent Thian, File)

BEIJING (AP) - China is finding the once friendly ground of Southeast Asia bumpy going, with anger against Chinese claims to disputed islands, once reliable ally Myanmar flirting with democracy and renewed American attention to the region.

Lobbying, a Windfall and a Leader’s Family

Ping An, one of China’s largest financial services companies, is building a 115-story office tower in Shenzhen. The company is a $50 billion powerhouse now worth more than A.I.G., MetLife or Prudential. 

SHENZHEN, China — The head of a financially troubled insurer was pushing Chinese officials to relax rules that required breaking up the company in the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis.  
The survival of Ping An Insurance was at stake, officials were told in the fall of 1999. Direct appeals were made to the vice premier at the time, Wen Jiabao, as well as the then-head of China’s central bank — two powerful officials with oversight of the industry.

Wednesday, 21 November 2012

China to 'simplify' procedures for foreign investors

China has been keen to boost foreign investment in its financial markets

China has said it will "simplify" procedures for foreign direct investments, the latest step in its attempts to attract more investors.
Under the new rules, investors will not require approval for opening foreign currency accounts or for re-investing foreign exchange earnings.

Tuesday, 20 November 2012

China Reins In New Security Boss's Clout

Incoming Communist Party leadership appoints Meng Jiangzhu as head of domestic security, overseeing police, prosecutors, judges, spies, but downgrades the position. The WSJ's Jeremy Page explains why the Bo Xilai affair contributed to the downgrade.
Bo Xilai Affair Led to Fears the Domestic Spy Chief Had Grown Too Powerful, Leading Party Elite to Downgrade Position
BEIJING—In a sign of how the Bo Xilai affair has shaped the thinking of China's rulers, the incoming Communist Party leadership appointed a new domestic security chief but downgraded the position.
The move could strengthen the rule of law after a decade in which the security forces amassed vast new powers and resources, and party insiders say it is a direct consequence of the scandal surrounding Mr. Bo, the former party highflier whose wife was convicted in August of murdering a British businessman.

Five Myths about the Chinese Internet

The Great Firewall is neither great, nor a firewall. Discuss.
BY EVELINE CHAO | NOVEMBER 20, 2012


Last week, Xi Jinping's chairmanship of the Communist Party was announced, and collectively, the Chinese Internet breathed a sigh of relief. Netizens rejoiced as the web returned to its normal speed, while censors, government officials, and Internet companies finally allowed themselves to stop fretting about making any missteps during the highly sensitive week-long, once-in-a-decade political meeting -- the 18th Party Congress -- which decided China's new leadership structure. 

China names new Communist Party chief in Chongqing

China has appointed a new Communist Party chief in Chongqing, the city once led by disgraced politician Bo Xilai.
Sun Zhengcai was agriculture secretary from 2006-2009

Sun Zhengcai, 49, will take over from outgoing chief Zhang Dejiang, who was promoted to the Politburo Standing Committee, Xinhua news agency said
Mr Zhang replaced Bo Xilai in March, as investigations into his case began.

Monday, 19 November 2012

The Chinese Party Congress Wrap-Up: 3 Surprises

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Xi Jinping's affable, plainspoken demeanor is the big story of the power transition.
A security guard watches new Communist Party General Secretay Xi Jinping speak on a screen. (Reuters)

The "Great Unveiling" of the new Chinese leadership took place as expected on November 15, and the post-mortem judgment was virtually unanimous that the final line-up reflected a "conservative" leadership stacked with more sexagenarians than what many had hoped. And as such, hopes of fundamental reforms have been dashed for now (see here, here, and here). Although the conservative vs. reformer framework always struck me as a false dichotomy, I will leave the elaboration of that subject for another time. Instead, I think the conclusion of the party congress contained three surprises, and left many questions, that are worth pondering.

Sunday, 18 November 2012

‘Little Hu’ eyed for the next wave of Chinese leaders



For the past week, the focus in China has been on the country’s outgoing leaders and their replacements, who were announced Thursday in a ­once-a-decade transition.


But those looking further down the line have been studying a subset of attendees — the likely successors to this year’s new leaders.

Opportunity Lost?

Inside China's leadership transition. 
BY CHENG LI | NOVEMBER 16, 2012

For a country widely seen as the world's other superpower, we know shockingly little about the worldviews, values, and socioeconomic policies of the seven men just named the new leaders of China. Unlike American politicians, Chinese leaders carry out their campaigns largely behind closed doors, and they are not chosen by the people. 

Thursday, 15 November 2012

How China Became Capitalist

Wednesday, November 14, 2012
A free market for ideas has long been respected in China as a political ideal.
Nick Schulz: In a famous 1978 communiqué, communist party leaders in China admitted that “one of the serious shortcomings in the structure of economic management is the over-concentration of authority.” What prompted the Chinese leadership to acknowledge this fact and embrace devolving economic authority?
Ronald Coase and Ning Wang: This was not the first time for the Chinese leadership to acknowledge the problem. As early as 1956, even before China’s first Five-Year Plan (1953–1957) ended, Mao realized centralization of power in the Chinese economy had dampened the incentives of local officials as well as those of the state enterprises in cities and communes and production teams in rural areas. Mao pushed decentralization in 1958, but it was quickly absorbed into the “Great Leap Forward,” when more than 30 million Chinese peasants perished in Mao’s great famine. In the eyes of Chinese economic planners, decentralization was the culprit. Afterward, centralization was restored.
By 1978, the Chinese government came back to Mao’s diagnosis, though its prescription went one step further than Mao’s, since it knew that Mao’s did not work. Mao devolved economic authorities only to provincial and sub-provincial local governments. Now, state enterprises were given some autonomy in their operation.
NS: You write that “China became capitalist with marginal revolutions.” What do you mean?
RC & NW: A key empirical finding of our book is that there are actually two Chinese reforms. One was dictated by Beijing. The other resulted from grassroots initiatives. Starving peasants started private farming and township and village enterprises; city residents without a job in the state sector set up the first private businesses in Chinese cities; Shenzhen and other Special Economic Zones were set up as an experiment to co-opt capitalism to save socialism. They all operated outside the protected boundary of socialism.
During the first decade of reform, “marginal revolutions” introduced entrepreneurship and market forces back to the Chinese economy, while the state-led reform was desperately trying to improve the state-owned enterprises and save socialism. In this sense, China became capitalist with marginal revolutions.
NS: You point out that China’s reforms of its state-owned enterprises were a disappointment. What accounted for that?
RC & NW: China’s reforms of state enterprises as the “central link” of the whole reform program lasted for more than two decades, from the very beginning to 2003. Before the mid-1990s, privatization of state enterprises was strictly prohibited, and reform mainly consisted of delegating some economic rights to state enterprises and giving them some incentives. Even though the state enterprises gained more autonomy and better incentive structures, they were never subject to market discipline. For example, poor-performing state enterprises were not allowed to go bankrupt. Not surprisingly, state enterprises were quickly outperformed by private enterprises, which were poorly equipped in terms of financial and human capital but had to face strict market selection.
In the 1990s, increasing competition from the private sector made more and more state enterprises insolvent, adding financial burden to local governments. This led many local authorities to let go of the state enterprises under their jurisdiction. Since the mid-1990s, the Chinese government started to privatize state enterprises, and the number of remaining state enterprises was reduced dramatically.
Today, the central government controls less than 120 state-owned enterprises, but many of them are state monopolies, still not subject to market discipline. As a special interest group, the remaining state enterprises pose a serious challenge to market order.
NS: You write that in the 1980s, “The United States of America came to replace the Soviet Union as a role model for China, particularly in the minds of Chinese students.” How did that come to pass?
RC & NW: Ever since Nixon’s visit to Beijing in 1972, China began to see the United States not only as a partner in the Cold War, but also as a country leading the world in science and education. Deng Xiaoping’s visit to the United States in 1979 and ensuing visits to China made by many American academic delegations further convinced the Chinese people that they had much to learn from the United States.
Moreover, some of China’s leading scientists were trained in the United States before 1949. They were denounced as “rightists” during Mao’s time. Those who were fortunate to have survived Mao’s political campaigns were gradually rehabilitated after Mao’s death, and returned to their research and teaching. They encouraged their children and students to go to the United States for study. Many senior Chinese leaders also sent their children to the United States. When they were young, many of them went to the Soviet Union for study.
Universities and even libraries in China were shut down during the Cultural Revolution (1966–1976). Under Deng’s leadership, Chinese universities were reopened in 1977. College students were desperate for new knowledge and new sources of knowledge. It did not take long for them to figure out that the United States had the best to offer.
Even though the Chinese Communist Party still monopolizes political power, it is no longer an ideology-driven political party. Indeed, it is communist only in name.

NS: The Student Movement and the collapse of the Soviet Union led to deep antipathy on the part of China’s communist leaders toward markets. Are you surprised that the Tiananmen massacre did not ultimately lead to a full-scale rejection and reversal of economic reforms?
RC & NW: China’s economic reform was under heavy political and ideological attack from 1989 to 1991. Many market reforms were reversed. The private sector was chastened as the root source of China’s political and economic problems.
Nonetheless, China kept its commitment to opening itself to the West. Even the most conservative Chinese leaders realized that China could not afford a return to isolation, and that China had too much to learn from the West. On November 28, 1990, at the 10th anniversary of the Special Economic Zone, Shenzhen was hailed as “a vanguard in conducting reform and opening up to the outside world.”
Moreover, the first decade of reform had generated many economic gains and improved the lives of so many Chinese that a full-scale rejection of reform would jeopardize further the legitimacy of the government. As long as pragmatism prevailed and the Chinese government continued to “seek truth from facts,” China’s reform and opening up had a great chance to survive.
NS: You write, “The most extraordinary feature of Chinese economic reform is perhaps that the Chinese Communist Party has survived, and indeed thrived, over the three decades of market transformation.” What accounts for this survival and thriving?
RC & NW: After Mao’s death, the Chinese Communist Party quickly distanced itself from a radical revolutionary party committed to fighting capitalism and spreading communism. With the return of Deng Xiaoping in 1978, the new party leadership returned to pragmatism and jettisoned radical ideology. As the fledging private sector outperformed the state sector and the marginal revolutions outshined the state-led reform, the party gradually embraced the market economy.
Even though the Chinese Communist Party still monopolizes political power, it is no longer an ideology-driven political party. Indeed, it is communist only in name. It welcomes global capitalism and claims its legitimacy on peace and prosperity. Its political philosophy is no different from the “Mandate of Heaven.” It is this de-politicization of the party, its continuous adaptation, and self-transformation that has allowed the party to grow with the Chinese market economy.
Today, the Chinese government faces enormous challenges, including corruption from within and the increasing demand for political participation from without. As we have argued in the book, an open market for ideas offers a gradual and viable path for China to further reform its political system.
NS: You note that “capitalism with Chinese characteristics is impoverished by the lack of a free market for ideas.” What hope is there of that changing?
RC & NW: We are cautiously optimistic that China in the coming decades will embrace the market for ideas, just like it embraced the market for goods three decades ago. Our optimism mainly rests on the following three considerations. First, in the early 1980s Steve Cheung predicted that China would go capitalist because the potential economic gains were simply so overwhelming. Today, a similar but stronger argument can be made for China’s move toward a market for ideas. Second, the market for ideas is politically neutral. A market for ideas can work in many different political systems. As long as the Chinese government continues to commit itself to pragmatism, upholding practice as the criterion of testing truth, it will come to realize that an open market for ideas is indispensable for the Chinese people to realize their potential. Third, a free market for ideas has long been respected in China as a political ideal, as captured by the Chinese aphorism, “let a hundred flowers bloom, and a hundred schools of thought contend.” Only an open market for ideas can turn that dream into reality.
NS: You are critical of much modern economics, saying it has been transformed “from a moral science of man creating wealth to a cold logic of choice and resource allocation.” How did this happen? Where did economics go wrong?
RC & NW: Adam Smith, the founding father of modern economics, took economics as a study of “the nature and causes of the wealth of nations.” As late as 1920, Alfred Marshall in the eighth edition of Principles of Economics kept economics as “both a study of wealth and a branch of the study of man.” Barely a dozen years later, Lionel Robbins in his Essay on the Nature and Significance of Economic Science (1932) reoriented economics as “the science which studies human behavior as a relationship between ends and scarce means which have alternative uses.” Unfortunately, the viewpoint of Robbins has won the day.
The fundamental shift from Smith and Marshall to Robbins is to rid economics of its substance — the working of the social institutions that bind together the economic system. Afterward, economics has turned into a discipline without a subject matter, advocating itself as a study of human choices. This shift has been assisted by what Hayek (1952) criticized as the growing trend of scientism in the study of society, which took mathematical formalism as the only secure route to truth in the pursuit of knowledge. As economists become more and more interested in formalism and related technical sophistication, it becomes secondary whether the substantive questions that they choose to perfect their methods or to illustrate their theoretical models bear any resemblance to the real world economy. By and large, most of our colleagues are not bothered by the fact that what they profess is mainly “blackboard economics.”
We are now working with the University of Chicago Press to launch a new journal, Man and the Economy. We chose our title carefully to signal the mission of the new journal, which is to restore economics to a study of man as he is and of the economy as it actually exists. We hope this new journal will provide a platform to encourage scholars all over the world to study how the economy works in their countries. We believe this is the only way to make progress in economics.
We are very much aware that many of our colleagues whose work we admire do not share our criticism of modern economics. But our goal is not to replace one view of economics that we don’t like with another one of our choice, but to bring diversity and competition to the marketplace for economics ideas, which we hope most, if not all, economists will endorse.
Nick Schulz is the editor of THE AMERICAN.

A Promise to Tackle China’s Problems, but Few Hints of a Shift in Path

Xi Jinping, China’s new leader, called on his party to fight corruption and promised to continue the country’s “rejuvenation.”
BEIJING — China’s new leader, Xi Jinping, impressed many people with a plain-spoken promise to address problems in the country’s ruling party on Thursday, but his new leadership team offered few clues as to a clear shift in direction. 
Mr. Xi, who formally took over from Hu Jintao as general secretary of the Communist Party on Thursday, was presented to foreign and domestic reporters after a highly scripted party congress intended mainly to laud the work of Mr. Hu and set very broad priorities for Mr. Xi’s tenure.
According to tradition, Mr. Xi appeared onstage the day after the congress ended with other members of the party’s Politburo Standing Committee, the seven-member body that effectively runs China.
Mr. Xi then gave a speech on live television that avoided most of the slogans that characterized Mr. Hu’s recent addresses. In fact, he did not mention Mr. Hu or any of his predecessors, instead calling on the party to fight corruption and promising to continue China’s “rejuvenation.” 
“Inside the party, there are many problems that need be addressed, especially the problems among party members and officials of corruption and taking bribes, being out of touch with the people, undue emphasis on formalities and bureaucracy and other issues,” Mr. Xi said.
He also pledged to improve citizens’ lives, including offering “better schooling, more stable jobs, more satisfying incomes, more reliable social security, higher levels of health care, more comfortable housing conditions and a more beautiful environment,” so they can “look forward to their children growing up in better circumstances, finding better work and living in better conditions.”
“People’s striving for a better life is the goal we are struggling for,” he added.
Reflecting his upbringing as the son of a high-ranking official in Beijing, Mr. Xi spoke in clear Mandarin Chinese, making him one of the first modern Chinese leaders whose speech does not bear the heavy accents of an upbringing in one of China’s provinces.
Mr. Xi takes office with more titular authority than any Chinese leader in history. He will now be the chief of the ruling Communist Party and will take over sooner than expected from Mr. Hu as the chairman of the Central Military Commission, the top overseer of China’s armed forces. Next spring, he will assume the position of state president. Other leaders in the post-Mao era have had more staggered transitions into the top posts. 
Even so, Mr. Xi will have to contend with numerous other well-connected princelings, or sons and daughters of influential past leaders, and a factionalized Communist Party that tends to operate by consensus rather than strongman rule. He is unlikely to have the sweeping authority of Mao Zedong or Deng Xiaoping.
Although Mr. Xi’s appointment has been expected since 2007, when he was essentially named Mr. Hu’s successor, it was the first chance for the Chinese to see him in action. Li Zhong, a retired county leader in Hebei Province who served there at the same time as Mr. Xi in the early 1980s, noted that Mr. Xi had not repeated many of Mr. Hu’s slogans.
“Instead, he stressed the party’s responsibilities to the masses and the heroism of the people, as well as the need to root out corruption in the party,” Mr. Li said. “He was very frank and showed his consideration for the people.”
His speech was also widely discussed on China’s social media sites, which largely reflect an educated urban population.
He Bing of the China University of Political Science and Law in Beijing wrote on the Weibo microblog, “He speaks with a human touch.” 
Others were more critical.
“I read Xi’s speech,” Jian Heng, a guest professor at Shantou University in Guangdong Province, wrote on Weibo. “He mentioned the word ‘party’ 20 times; ‘people’ appeared 19 times; ‘responsibility’ was said 10 times and ‘problems’ 3 times. Didn’t use anything related to law. No ‘law,’ no ‘constitution,’ no ‘rule of law’ nor ‘democracy,’ no ‘freedom.’ ”
No one can know for sure whether Mr. Xi favors fundamental political changes of that kind — he has given no clear indication that he does. What is clear is that his fellow members of the Standing Committee are longtime party veterans whose track records provide no evidence of a strong impulse to change the way China is governed, and whose ages mean they will probably have relatively short careers in the country’s top ruling body.  
Mr. Xi is 59 and his No. 2, Li Keqiang, who is expected to take control of the bureaucratic apparatus of government as prime minister next spring, is 57. But the other five members are all in their mid-60s. Under the party’s internal rules, that means they are all likely to retire at the next party congress in five years. Given the intensely consuming task of negotiating top leadership slots among competing factions, finding suitable replacements for these five could take up much of Mr. Xi’s time and political capital.
The other members of the Standing Committee are Zhang Dejiang, 65; Liu Yunshan, 65; Wang Qishan, 64; Yu Zhengsheng, 67; and Zhang Gaoli, 65.
“This is quite a mediocre lineup, and we’ll have to wait and see what they do,” said Pu Zhiqiang, a Beijing-based lawyer who often handles human rights cases. “The way of Chinese politics means that their past performances don’t show what they’ll do in the future.”
Another problem is that the leadership reflects the strong hand of Mr. Hu’s predecessor, Jiang Zemin. Although Mr. Jiang, 86, retired a decade ago, he has close ties with at least four of the seven members. That means he was able to override Mr. Hu and place his people in top slots even though he has no formal position in the party. 
“The bad news from looking at the political system is that it really seems to have thrown a wrench in our understanding of institutionalization,” said Joseph Fewsmith, a professor at Boston University who specializes in Chinese politics. “This whole institutional idea that people retire and then don’t play much of a role seems to have been pretty well demolished.”
Mr. Xi did keep one tradition, however. Like Mr. Hu, who gave almost no interviews to foreign reporters during his 10 years in office, Mr. Xi left without taking any questions from the scores of waiting journalists. 
Jonathan Ansfield contributed reporting. Shi Da contributed research. 

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